Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.385563 1.587198 1.808641 2.070006 2.370241 2.704548 3.105352
2025-07-13 1.141010 1.414390 1.739465 2.155023 2.672985 3.298446 4.112843
2025-07-20 0.974928 1.293384 1.698889 2.254326 2.997481 3.960549 5.308483
2025-07-27 0.841315 1.184909 1.649665 2.326419 3.290739 4.621606 6.608719
2025-08-03 0.726546 1.079277 1.582808 2.357307 3.525087 5.230699 7.930527
2025-08-10 0.611831 0.953251 1.464738 2.291164 3.602324 5.617859 8.981633
2025-08-17 0.510066 0.829657 1.329796 2.174756 3.578784 5.839969 9.800556
2025-08-24 0.446883 0.756564 1.261274 2.150196 3.692536 6.287220 11.042986
2025-08-31 0.392115 0.688878 1.191065 2.110385 3.770909 6.680281 12.243812
2025-09-07 0.367068 0.668149 1.196335 2.199814 4.083862 7.516772 14.356084
2025-09-14 0.337266 0.634539 1.173885 2.234773 4.300154 8.204448 16.288683
2025-09-21 0.304226 0.590350 1.126068 2.214698 4.407504 8.698591 17.912678
2025-09-28 0.264184 0.528804 1.040171 2.113932 4.352307 8.888226 18.992892
2025-10-05 0.249936 0.516266 1.047712 2.201426 4.691987 9.921876 22.018671
2025-10-12 0.238245 0.507339 1.061259 2.303305 5.077265 11.107907 25.578331
2025-10-19 0.224893 0.493072 1.061792 2.377234 5.412665 12.235806 29.197720
2025-10-26 0.209291 0.471783 1.044470 2.408950 5.657448 13.196809 32.586855
2025-11-02 0.187845 0.434567 0.987324 2.341398 5.660961 13.600132 34.681646
2025-11-09 0.165398 0.392097 0.912856 2.222417 5.522971 13.644193 35.872574
2025-11-16 0.151695 0.368494 0.879118 2.197329 5.613184 14.261295 38.664175
2025-11-23 0.138498 0.344421 0.841236 2.156637 5.657709 14.769171 41.248899
2025-11-30 0.134031 0.341433 0.854329 2.248086 6.061413 16.271469 46.861528
2025-12-07 0.126869 0.330667 0.846621 2.283837 6.320788 17.426655 51.683785